Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.104701 0.160357 0.225926 0.306376 0.400279 0.504617 0.627649
2026-01-11 0.046483 0.113245 0.208014 0.338904 0.505010 0.701147 0.943593
2026-01-18 0.022475 0.088593 0.198629 0.363348 0.582993 0.850978 1.190175
2026-01-25 0.006833 0.062762 0.178041 0.366247 0.629487 0.960288 1.387642
2026-02-01 0.000091 0.035135 0.142332 0.338913 0.629797 1.007410 1.505859
2026-02-08 NaN 0.015109 0.107183 0.303622 0.613068 1.028427 1.588431
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006691 0.089770 0.292510 0.627338 1.087476 1.716822
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003295 0.083046 0.298527 0.665809 1.178169 1.885202
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000836 0.072780 0.295265 0.688845 1.247260 2.025468
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.057951 0.278760 0.689113 1.283870 2.122805
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.061752 0.303698 0.756111 1.413523 2.342170
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.065910 0.329564 0.824832 1.545887 2.565517
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.064393 0.343217 0.876140 1.657560 2.766913
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.071466 0.378422 0.964078 1.822207 3.039977
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.074726 0.404176 1.036328 1.964722 3.283880
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.069157 0.407292 1.070723 2.053767 3.457389
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.052670 0.378294 1.049260 2.062339 3.523528
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.035856 0.340781 1.009712 2.042798 3.550556
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.028604 0.328943 1.013774 2.085454 3.660122
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.026737 0.335354 1.050843 2.176672 3.835510
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.022665 0.331879 1.069220 2.240048 3.973075
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.016111 0.314277 1.059899 2.261508 4.053120
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.018979 0.340861 1.135297 2.410457 4.308006